How to Spot Shares That Are on the Rise

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Published on: Nov 4, 2024 11:23:43 AM

Momentum investing revolves around identifying stocks on the rise to maximise returns. But is it right for you? Let’s break it down.

Momentum investing is a strategy focused on capitalising on stocks that are currently trending upwards. The premise is that stocks that have shown consistent upward movement may continue to perform well in the near term. However, it's important to remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future results, and various factors can influence stock prices.

How to Spot Momentum Stocks: A Step-by-Step Guide

Step 1: Monitor Price Movements
Begin by tracking stock price trends. Look for stocks that have demonstrated steady gains over several weeks or months. For instance, if a stock has increased by 20% over the last three months, it may be worth further investigation.

Step 2: Analyse Trading Volume
Next, consider trading volume. An increase in stock price alongside a rise in trading volume can indicate strong momentum. Higher volume suggests that more investors are buying in, potentially pushing the stock's price even higher.

Step 3: Keep an Eye on Market News
Staying informed about market developments is crucial. Positive news, such as better-than-expected earnings reports or exciting product launches, can contribute to a stock's momentum. Regularly check financial news outlets to catch these developments early.

Step 4: Understand Technical Indicators
Technical indicators can help you assess the strength of a stock’s momentum. Here are a few key indicators to consider:

Moving Averages: These smooth out price fluctuations by calculating the average price over a specific period (e.g., 50-day or 200-day moving averages). A stock trading above its moving average can indicate potential upward momentum.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): This measures the speed and change of price movements, helping identify whether a stock is overbought (potentially due for a price drop) or oversold (potentially due for a price rise). An RSI above 70 may suggest a stock is overbought, while below 30 indicates it may be oversold.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): This indicator shows the relationship between two moving averages of a stock’s price. A positive MACD can signal upward momentum, while a negative MACD may suggest downward pressure.

Step 5: Set Your Entry and Exit Points
Before investing, establish your entry and exit points based on your analysis. Knowing when to buy and when to sell is essential in momentum investing. Create a plan outlining your criteria for entering and exiting positions.

Is Momentum Investing Right for You?
Determining whether momentum investing aligns with your financial goals requires careful consideration of your investment style, risk tolerance, and lifestyle. Consider the following factors:

Are you comfortable with the volatility associated with momentum stocks?
How much time are you willing to dedicate to monitoring market trends and stock performance?
Does momentum investing fit within your broader investment strategy? If you prefer a long-term buy-and-hold approach, consider whether this fast-paced strategy aligns with your financial objectives.
Are you familiar with technical analysis and the indicators mentioned above? If not, investing time in learning these concepts or consulting a financial professional may be beneficial.
Consider the current market environment. Momentum investing may perform better in strong bull markets, while corrections can lead to increased volatility and risk.

Momentum investing can be an effective strategy for those who are prepared to engage actively with the market. By carefully monitoring price movements, trading volume, and market news, you can identify stocks that are experiencing upward trends.

But before you jump in, think about what you're comfortable with regarding risk, how much time you can dedicate, and what your investment goals are. This way, you can make sure momentum investing fits into your bigger game plan.

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Any opinions, news, research, reports, analyses, prices, or other information contained within this research is provided by an external contributor as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice for the purposes of the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act, 2002. First World Trader (Pty) Ltd t/a EasyEquities (“EasyEquities”) does not warrant the correctness, accuracy, timeliness, reliability or completeness of any information (i) contained within this research and (ii) received from third party data providers. You must rely solely upon your own judgment in all aspects of your investment and/or trading decisions and all investments and/or trades are made at your own risk. EasyEquities (including any of their employees) will not accept any liability for any direct or indirect loss or damage, including without limitation, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on the market commentary. The content contained within is subject to change at any time without notice.

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